Yoon Seok-youl walked out of the detention center Lee Jae-ming will be on the trial seat and the two ushered in a "life and death situation" in March

South Korean President Yoon Seo-yeol will also face the impeachment verdict after leaving the detention center on March 8, and Lee Jae-ming, the leader of South Korea's largest opposition party, will also face the second-instance verdict in March.

8 March, South Korean President Yoon Seo-yeol was released 52 days after being arrested. Meanwhile, the South Korean Constitutional Court may make a final judgment on its impeachment case in mid-March, which means Yoon Seo-hyo will accept the final ruling on his presidential career in non-detention.

If the Constitutional Court supports impeachment, Yoon Seo-yeol will be officially removed from the presidency, and the new South Korean presidential election will begin immediately. Meanwhile, the leader of the South Korean co-Democratic Party, seen as a popular candidate for the new presidentLi Zaiming may usher in the second instance judgment of the court on the case he is involved in on March 26。

The heads of the government and opposition parties are involved in the case at the same time, and the political trend of South Korea may be even more confusing.

01、Why was Yoon Seok-yeol released?

△On March 8, Yoon Seo-young was released and left from the Seoul Detention Center.

The Seoul Central District Court approved the application for canceling Yoon Seo-yeol's detention on the 7th.

The court held that the time point for the prosecution to file a lawsuit exceeded Yoon Seo-yeon's detention period. The court explained that the period of detention should be calculated in hours rather than days, and the time involved in the necessity review of Yoon Seo-yue's detention should be included in the detention time.

After Yoon Seo-yeon was arrested, he went to the court for the necessity of detention, explaining the "legality" of emergency martial law and the reasons for the inability to be established for civil unrelief.

The court also stated that it is necessary to further clarify the relevant procedures and eliminate doubts about the legality of the investigation process involved, such as the vague right to investigate civil unrest crimes in the Crime Investigation Department of the Senior Public Officials (Public Mediation Mediation) and "the Public Mediation Law and other relevant laws do not have clear provisions, nor do the interpretation and judgment of the Grand Court (Supreme Court)." Therefore, the court decided to cancel the detention.

The court's decision to cancel the detention of Yoon Seok-yeol does not mean that Yoon Seok-yeol can leave the detention center immediately. In fact, Yoon Seok-yeol's stay or not depends on whether the procuratorate filed an appeal.

South Korean media reported that according to the South Korean Criminal Procedure Law, prosecutors can file an immediate appeal within 7 days for the decision to cancel detention. If so, Yoon Seok-young will not be released immediately and his detention will be maintained until the court makes another decision.

However, the South Korean Prosecutor's Office on March 8 to the court"Cancel Detention Yoon Seok-yeon" verdict gave up filing a complaint. Yoon Seok-young was later released and left from the Seoul detention center.

02、Will the trial of Yoon Seo-yeon’s impeachment case be affected？

After Yoon Seok-yeon is released, he will be tried in cases such as the President's Impeachment case of the Constitutional Court in a state of no detention.

At present, the trial of Yoon Seo-yeol's impeachment case in the South Korean Constitutional Court has come to an end. After the last debate ends on February 25, the verdict is expected to be announced in mid-March.

Korean legal circles believe thatWhether Yoon Seo-yeol will not have much impact on the impeachment of the Constitutional Court president. Because the contents of criminal trials and constitutional trials are different, the Constitutional Court has not used the investigation records of public mediation as evidence.

03、Lee Jae-ming won the highest support rate in the poll

The poll results released by Gallup on the 7th showed that60% of South Koreans that impeach President Yoon Seok-yeol, compared with the previous week's survey, the approval rate rose by 1 percentage point.

△On March 1, the five opposition parties in South Korea held a joint rally to call for the impeachment of Yoon Seo-yeon.

If the Constitutional Court makes a ruling to impeach Yoon Seo-yeol, Yoon Seo-yeol will be immediately removed from the presidency, and the process of the new South Korean presidential election will begin immediately.

Gallup poll results also show that if the election is held in advance,52% of South Koreans expect "revolutionary alternation"，That is, I hope the opposition party will take power;37% of the people believe that the ruling party should continue to rule. In the survey on party support rates, the ruling National Power Party’s support rate was 36%, and the largest opposition party’s support rate was 40%.Co-Democratic Party leader Lee Jae-ming received the highest approval rating among "future political leaders" at 35%。

04、Lee Jae-ming will also take the trial seat

Although he has received the highest approval rating in the latest poll, Lee Jae-ming has been accused by South Korean prosecutors since 2021. Even if Yoon Seo-yeon is eventually impeached, Lee Jae-ming's case may hinder his run for the new president.

The prosecution accused Lee Jae-ming of lying in an interview with the media during his campaign for South Korea's president in December 2021 that he did not know Kim Wen-ki, director of the First Development Department of Chengnan Urban Development Commune. Jin Wenji died while under investigation for a corruption case in a real estate development project in Chengnan City. During the progress of the real estate project involved, Li Zaiming served as the mayor of Chengnan City. The prosecution also accused him of making false statements about land use planning issues involved in another real estate development project during a parliamentary review of the Gyeonggi-do government in October 2021.

In November last year, the Seoul Central District Court found Lee Jae-ming lying as a presidential campaigner and violating the Public Office Election Law, and sentenced him to one year in prison and two years of probation. Li Zaiming then appealed.

On February 26 this year, the Seoul High Court tried Lee Jae-ming's appeal request. The prosecutor stated that Lee Jae-ming "lied lies and misled voters" and deserved to be "hardly punished".Seeking a judge to sentence him to two years in prison。The court plans to make a second-instance ruling on March 26。

Meanwhile, the Constitutional Court of South KoreaRuling is expected to be made on Yoon Seo-yeol's impeachment case in mid-March。

If the Constitutional Court supports impeachment, Yoon Seo-yeol will be officially removed from the presidency and South Korea must hold a new presidential election within 60 days. However, the case involved in Li Zaiming may hinder his run. Once Li Zaiming's case is convicted in the final trial, he may not be allowed to run for public office within several years.